A Call for the Reluctant Leader: How Do You Address Complex Organisational Problems?
By Miles Hayman
I am a fan of the British Army. I think it is an awesome organisation. I also think it is full of outstanding leaders practising their craft admirably, often in exceptionally difficult conditions. Confront us with crises, especially on operations and we will come together; we see through the fog of ambiguity to achieve the best possible outcomes within a pressured timeframe. Throw us a tricky, complicated problem and we will use our estimate to give structure and process to a well-oiled staff machine. We take direction, work together and come up with a coordinated and synchronised plan.
We’re good at this stuff – leading in crises and leading through the execution of well-crafted plans is what we do. And we do it really well. Until very recently our preferred definition for leadership was ‘…the projection of character and intellect to inspire others to do what is required of them through a combination of example, persuasion and compulsion.’ I would say the definition fits pretty well both with 150 years of leadership theory and with the challenging environment I have described above. So far, so good.
But here is the thing: there is a different type of leadership challenge that we are really poor at addressing. And, for some, it is the defining leadership challenge of our age. This article tries to provide a bit of food for thought about what this leadership challenge is and what we might be able to do about it.
What do we do with a really knotty, intractable problem? A problem that is not defined by an overriding time pressure to act and also not solvable with a well-crafted plan. Put simply, we almost always treat it in a way that we are both comfortable with and structured for. We might treat it as a crisis. Typically, this means kicking the problem into the long grass long enough for the problem to get really angry or it means adjusting the timeline and calling for decisive and immediate action upfront.
Alternatively, we can unleash our well-oiled planning machine and deliver a rather elegant and synchronised plan of action (with the end state sitting beautifully at the end of it, like the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow). Both options produce lots of heat and action and ‘deliverables’ and so we feel good about getting on with it. The trouble emerges after our attention moves to the next challenge; the underlying problem is still there because it has not really been addressed.
Complex problems
In academic literature, these knotty, intractable problems are described variously as complex, ambiguous, wicked or adaptive. For consistency, I shall use the term complex throughout this article. Both military publications and academic literature support the notion that complex organisational problems are becoming increasingly common. Complex problemsare not defined by an over-riding time-critical imperative for immediate action. They are not reducible because they mutate and change over time. They cannot be sliced up, sequenced and solved with objective, technical planning processes. They may well also contain competing views about the nature of the problem. Also, they typically contain multiple stakeholders who are likely to diverge in their perceptions of acceptable solutions.
Climate change is a good example of a societal level complex problem. Addressing substance misuse is applicable to both civil society and the military. Substance misuse is not at all complex in terms of clarity and agreement of desired outcome – we want it to stop. The complexity and ambiguity come from the how on earth we achieve that outcome. Zero tolerance (or very close to it) within the army achieves a solution on paper, but I would suggest that in practice we are masking the problem and failing to put the true causes at the heart of our thinking. Within the military, developing the appropriate force capability to meet future threats is another good example.
Of course, organisational level problems rarely conform to neat labels. Complex problems may well contain linear elements, interspersed with crises. Complicated problems may be extremely challenging and technical, requiring deep subject matter expertise, but they are essentially reducible. They can be objectively sliced up and solved with the right planning and execution. Air traffic control is perhaps a good civilian example. A large-scale non-operational logistic move is a good military example.
Crises may contain elements of complexity and ambiguity. However, these elements are overshadowed by an over-riding time-critical requirement for near immediate, decisive action. An enemy ambush is a good example of an operational crisis. An unexpected front-page headline that generates a highly time sensitive demand for information is an example of a crisis in a staff working context. The Army’s contribution in Iraq and Afghanistan since 2001 are good examples of environmental contexts that contained overlapping and interconnected complex, linear and crises type problems for the British Army.
So where does good leading and leadership feature in all this?
Purposeful human endeavour, often referred to as agency in academic literature, still matters. Nearly everything we know to be true about leadership remains relevant. What we know is relevant both to what we do – leading in crises and executing plans – and also to 150 years of leadership writing. From Thomas Carlyle in the mid nineteenth century, to Bernard Bass in the later part of the twentieth century, ideas about leadership have been based on a key premise. Certain individuals – let us call them leaders – do things, bound in a relationship with other individuals – let us call them followers – to achieve things.
This relationship was described as the leadership tripod by Bennis. There are dozens of different models and theories of course and there is no universally agreed way to describe it. I like the way that Keith Grint tackles it in Leadership: A Very Short Introduction, when he refers to the ebb and flow of normative and rational schools of thought. Normative schools focus on qualities in people (i.e. trait theories, transformational, charismatic and authentic schools); and rational schools focus on scientific or objective skill sets required to practice effectively (i.e. functional, situational and contingency schools). But what they literally all have in common is they conform to the leadership tripod. They privilege some form of ‘uber’ person who sits comfortably at the top of a tripod that binds others (the led) and their coordinated actions together in a relationship.
My perception is that the army is pretty comfortable with this conception of leadership. And let us face it, for crises and for complicated problems, especially at the most adversarial end of the spectrum, this type of leadership dynamic is probably as fit for purpose as it ever was.
The problem is, this tripod leadership dynamic is not fit for purpose when confronting the complex problems.
A leader-led organisation
According to literature, complex problems are unlikely to be solved with traditional leader-led organisational practice. By organisational practice, I simply mean the traditional way people do things and the practices and procedures used to get things done. As Heifetz et al observed, “because the problem lies in the people, the solution lies in them, too.” And this premise is supported in military doctrinal thinking. Joint Concept Note 2/17, which considers future command and control states, “leaders who try to impose order on complexity are likely to fail” (JCN 2/17, p.48).
The same publication also draws attention to the Cynefin framework which distinguishes between complicated and complex problems. According to JCN 2/17, complicated problems are suited to a ‘sense – analyse – respond’ approach whereas complex problems are suited to a ‘probe – sense – respond’ approach. This is more than a nuanced and semantic argument; this is a different approach to addressing a problem. The complicated approach is based on objective, reducible evidence and the complex approach is based on agility and learning from actions. And yet, arguably a decisive, leader-led response is exactly what we continue to demand from our leaders, however complex the problem.
My research has found that existing leadership theories fall short in their explanations about how leaders should behave in the face of complexity. Traditional theories remain focused on heroic individualistic conceptions of agency – find or build an uber person to take their place at the top of the tripod. Recent, collaborative theories adopt a utopian view of collective agency – assuming we can wish away the constraining influences of hierarchy, bureaucracy and organisational practice.
My research has applied an institutional lens to organisational leadership. An institutional lens considers three forces that influence organisations and the individuals within them to behave in particular ways. Regulatory, normative and cognitive experiences all play a part in influencing organisations. Regulatory forces are the perceived external constraints and the organisational rule book that is followed. The label normative applies to ‘how things are done around here’, the implicit practices that we carry out. Cognitive forces are basically an individual movie compilation of your experiences – career-based or otherwise – that help you build your own mental models of what looks good. These forces result in behaviours becoming deeply embedded over time.
The findings from a review of literature suggest that dominant institutional forces profoundly affect the leadership dynamic within organisational settings. These forces promote ‘leader actions’ aligned to individual, decisive, time-sensitive decision-making. When combined with agentic preferences for demonstrating individual leader strength and decisiveness, problems can only really be framed in one of two ways. The problem can be framed for clarity (with linear paths to solutions), or crises (with a perceived time-critical requirement for immediate action). It is an issue because these behaviours act as a powerful constraining influence on the type of collaborative organisational leadership required to address complex problems. Grint referred to this as ‘the irony of leadership’ suggesting that when a collaborative approach is needed most it is least likely to be employed.
So what?
We are structured effectively and well trained for much of what we need to do as an organisation – to thrive in demanding and time critical conditions, in crises, and produce well planned, synchronised and executed activity for some really complicated problems. However, if we are to thrive in the 21st century, we need to find ways that we can be effective when addressing complex problems. I know there are lots of good initiatives going on out there but from where I am sitting, I sense that the forces that legitimize the leader behaviours that result in linear plan or crisis response remain overwhelmingly strong.
A call for the reluctant leader?
This brief article is not about ‘solving’ the issue, it is about calling it out. I am certain that continuing to think about and researching it is worthwhile and I would argue that the problem of developing effective leader behaviours in the face of complex problems is one of the defining challenges for our organisation. Institutional theory suggests that we reproduce behaviours that maintain the legitimacy of what we recognise as effective action. If one considers this in relation to our conceptions of what good leadership looks like it is unsurprising that we find it difficult to think about effective leading in terms of collaboration, compromise, uncertainty and failure as the necessarily winding route to clumsy solutions. It is a really tricky one though because everything we already know about leading matters. We need to behave differently as leaders in the face of complexity without losing the ability to do the stuff we are already really good at – thriving in crises and crunching through the difficult, complicated problems. It is just that the type of leading required to tackle complex problems requires additional and genuinely different leader behaviours.
Calling out complexity is not an excuse for inaction. Sitting back and passively admiring the problem is not going to cut it. You still need to be awesome, inspiring and technically skilled. It is just that your focus of effort is aligned differently. You are thinking about connections, collaborations, compromises and openness to uncertainty. You are creating safe spaces for teams to try new ideas without the promise of guaranteed benefits hardwired into the plan. You are energised and excited by what you learn from the wrong turns and dead ends because it generates unexpected new opportunities. You are still awesome…but being in the spotlight and singled out from the collaborative efforts could not be further from your mind. In the face of complex problems, you are reluctant to conform to the traditional leader stereotypes. In fact, let us call it that, in the face of complex problems, you are the reluctant leader. Good luck!
If you are interested in how you can look at complex organisational problems in a new light, check out Matt Offord’s thoughts in Start With Another Narrative: Leadership for the Information Age.
Looking in from outside it would be worth reading this article: https://warontherocks.com/2020/01/self-sabotage-why-doing-the-right-thing-results-in-failure/
It appears to outline similar problems, albeit not at the “tip of the spear” and has suggestions how to overcome the problems.
Miles, this is a really valuable article, thank you. It seems to me there are inherent characteristics in any action-orientated organisation which work against the evolution and development of a capability for tackling complex problems. This is manifest in recruitment, doctrine, culture and selection for promotion. The development of this capability in the military is further hampered by changing political masters and the organisation’s habit of rotating personnel through jobs on cycles of two to four years.
A start can be made with education. My memory of military education is that it was strong on what to think, less so on how to think beyond the structures of the estimate and associated planning tools. That’s not to say creative thinking was discouraged, it wasn’t. However, useful frameworks like complicated and complex and Cynfin were absent. I believe great strides can be made in developing officers and soldiers with the requisite intellectual capability to address complex problems by adjusting military syllabi to incorporate more conceptual thinking techniques and by making this type of intellectual development, perhaps as a stand-alone course or programme, a prerequisite for certain types of appointment, especially post-regimental duty.
Of course, encouraging everyone to conceptualise can create problems in an organisation which is required above all to act! For all the desirability of divergent thought, convergence is necessary for the delivery of effect. If this were a complicated problem, we wouldn’t be discussing it. Understanding the difference between complicated and complex is an important first step in opening eyes to an essential organisational capability the military should be creating consciously. It would be good to chat off-line if you’re interested in continuing the conversation.
Fantastic short article that points exactly to the conundrum of complex problems. I like to also consider the chronic (rather than acute) risks and issues that come with these; sustained over time often, chronic risks and issues amass more ‘pain’ in terms of worry, frustration, uncertainty and friction than a crisis or acute situation where we naturally rally together under a common, time-critical goal.
I was provoked by this article to reflect on my time at Massey University in New Zealand where we taught the Joint Military Appreciation Process (JMAP) to uniformed students in New Zealand and Brunei. All staff teaching the process were retired or ex-regular Army officers. The University learning experience was somewhat different and arguably unique because not only were we asking students to learn the problem solving process through practical application to a range of situations but additionally we were asking students to examine issues and limitations that go with human endeavour in developing solutions to complex problems. Student observations were captured through critical reflective reports. Some of the more thorough reports examined in detail the important aspect of governance and relationships between leader and follower in galvanising the intellectual capacity among participants to generate quality deliverables.
My own observations after watching cohorts and marking reflective reports produced a number of critical insights about the importance of leadership in herding individuals to produce outcomes. I concur with some of the views expressed in the article because I saw them play out on so many occasions but I also offer these thoughts in response:
There is no deliberate attempt to teach effective leadership in problem solving by staff colleges and institutions as far as I’m aware. The focus is predominantly on understanding the process and the quality of the solution. How the solution was generated through the interactions of participants and the leadership governance is mostly ignored or overlooked as an important aspect. We assume that existing leadership competence and models are sufficient to lead and manage complex problem solving, which is far from what is actually required for the 21st Century. Arguably a new level of understanding is required in this space.
Typically, military problem solving frameworks are a one size fits all process. End state planning unfortunately drives linearity in thinking which makes complex problem solving problematic. Military actors are part of the solution as much as they are part of the problem. Their influence and interaction to situations constantly changes the relationships and behaviours of actors. As one commentator describes it, finding solution to problems is much like trying to navigate on moving ground. There is a requirement for clips ons to existing frameworks or new processes to be adopted. The Cynefin framework obviously springs to mind increasing the range of tools in the suite.
The leadership pyramid needs to be reviewed. Why are leaders supposedly always at the top? Should the goal be at the top with leaders and followers being on the bottom? In this manner we elevate finding optimal solutions as our reason for being between leaders and followers. Leaders then set the necessary conditions to nurture and sustain a “team of teams” (refer to ideas and concepts of Stanley McChrystall) approach through integration, cooperation and collaboration. It is vital that every opportunity is sought to exploit the intellectual horsepower that exists within teams. Leaders need to encourage rigorous debate and build consensus, which are not always consistent with military leadership norms.
Until we challenge our assumptions, we’ll continue to do business as we have always done it. I trust the insight from the research serves as a catalyst for ongoing change and improvement in how we solve problems.
This is a very interesting article that chimes with my experience as a former Army officer now working in the private sector as a project management consultant. Complex problems are often faced in industry and government and conform to the description in the article. The endstate may not be clear or agreed and there may not even be a solution to the problem. Some complex situations respond to better management and incremental improvement but never go away as problems. The creation of a social benefits system is a good example of this.
In project management we often use agile techniques to address complex problems. These stem from the Agile Manifesto produced by a group of software developers to address shortcomings in traditional project management methods. The principles of agile development lend themselves well to complex problems and the technique has now become mainstream and is used across many types of project.
Agile techniques stress iterative development in which smaller requirements are addressed in an almost experimental way to seek solutions. There is close involvement from users to do this. This appears similar to the ‘probe-sense-respond’ approach mentioned in the article.
Leadership in agile projects is often called ‘servant leadership’ – perhaps ringing some bells when we consider the motto of the Royal Military Academy Sandhurst is ‘Serve to Lead’. The leader in an agile team is there to facilitate the work of experts grappling with individual parts of the solution being developed. The leader ensures that they have the environment and tools that they need and protects them from interference. The leader encourages collaboration and the creation of a working environment of peers who all have an equal right to contribute. This may seem antithetical in a military environment but if we consider how Special Forces plan and operate it is not as alien as it first appears.
There is a lot more to agile methodology than can be discussed in a comment box. It is well worth looking at the manifesto online, as it has a set of principles that can help in addressing complex problems.